Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.455552 0.503587 0.555230 0.614994 0.682387 0.756192 0.843349
2025-07-20 0.380859 0.447601 0.524661 0.620700 0.737854 0.876972 1.055939
2025-07-27 0.338443 0.414362 0.506336 0.626945 0.782379 0.977912 1.245617
2025-08-03 0.306669 0.387853 0.490059 0.629723 0.818013 1.066528 1.425189
2025-08-10 0.283268 0.368329 0.479002 0.635744 0.855585 1.158389 1.616665
2025-08-17 0.257110 0.342110 0.455793 0.621727 0.862435 1.206381 1.748936
2025-08-24 0.242347 0.329630 0.449486 0.629598 0.899590 1.299571 1.957068
2025-08-31 0.226099 0.313496 0.436320 0.625708 0.918040 1.365433 2.128991
2025-09-07 0.213821 0.301894 0.428411 0.628343 0.945758 1.447092 2.334738
2025-09-14 0.199848 0.286689 0.413863 0.619258 0.953632 1.496938 2.491549
2025-09-21 0.188212 0.274084 0.402162 0.613353 0.965550 1.553722 2.666131
2025-09-28 0.173641 0.256047 0.380846 0.590247 0.946633 1.555828 2.740624
2025-10-05 0.167300 0.250458 0.378748 0.598627 0.982303 1.657296 3.016548
2025-10-12 0.160986 0.244499 0.375633 0.605017 1.015044 1.756893 3.302753
2025-10-19 0.155137 0.238861 0.372560 0.611048 1.047380 1.858610 3.606733
2025-10-26 0.149115 0.232537 0.367869 0.613745 1.073601 1.951028 3.903771
2025-11-02 0.144138 0.227609 0.365137 0.619588 1.106015 2.058577 4.248808
2025-11-09 0.136120 0.217122 0.352256 0.605984 1.099740 2.087426 4.420335
2025-11-16 0.132275 0.213488 0.350972 0.613623 1.135632 2.206619 4.819362
2025-11-23 0.126849 0.206821 0.343932 0.609848 1.148169 2.277505 5.112693
2025-11-30 0.122776 0.202280 0.340377 0.612406 1.173738 2.379069 5.497754
2025-12-07 0.117275 0.194934 0.331327 0.603588 1.174681 2.425801 5.748905
2025-12-14 0.112571 0.188774 0.324100 0.597857 1.181653 2.486863 6.047659